Fox News: Georgia’s Pivotal Role in the 2024 Election
Sep 01, 2024Byline: American Pulse Staff
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Appearing on Fox News Live with Bryan Llenas, American Pulse’s lead pollster, Dustin Olson, provided critical insights on the high-stakes battle for Georgia in the 2024 presidential election. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have zeroed in on the Peach State, recognizing it as a must-win battleground that could shape the entire race.
Why Georgia Matters:
Olson emphasized that winning Georgia is pivotal for Vice President Harris, as it would significantly narrow former President Trump's path to 270 electoral votes. "If Georgia were to be won by Harris, then that would make the math more difficult for Trump," Olson noted.
Kemp & Trump’s Unlikely Alliance:
One key factor discussed was the apparently uneasy truce between Governor Brian Kemp and Trump. Despite past conflicts, their alignment could be a game-changer in boosting turnout among low-propensity voters who tend to favor Trump. "And as a pollster, we look for things such as energy and intensity of support, and that's definitely there for Donald Trump. But one of the things we've also noticed is that Donald Trump tends to do better with low propensity voters," Olson explained. "Trump's campaign needs Kemp’s ground game to mobilize those infrequent voters."
African American Vote Remains Unmoved:
Despite expectations that Kamala Harris’s candidacy would shift African American voter sentiment, Olson highlighted a surprising stability in this demographic. "Trump still holds 22.3% of the African American vote in our latest polling, a figure that has not significantly changed since Harris entered the race," Olson pointed out. This consistency may complicate Harris’s efforts to replicate the Obama coalition that was instrumental in past Democratic victories in Georgia.
The Bottom Line:
Georgia is shaping up to be a decisive battleground in the 2024 election. With both campaigns investing heavily and voter sentiment appearing split, the final outcome may hinge on turnout efforts. Also, Donald Trump is performing at higher levels with minority voters could impact vote shares and turnout in those communities that are difficult for Harris to overcome.
Stay tuned for more updates and exclusive polling insights from American Pulse as the election unfolds.
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